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MAS/LUCC Resource Page: Research Project Details
Agent-based Simulation of Sutainable Resource Use in Agriculture and Forestry
Institution: Center for Development Reserach University of Bonn
Principal Investigators: Thomas Berger
Grant Number: Robert Bosch Foundation #32.5.8041.007.0
Description: This project bundles several research activities of the MAS research group at ZEF-Bonn. We are developing an agent-based simulation package consisting of: (1) Guidelines for defining research questions and designing model components; (2) Methods for empirical data collection and processing; (3) Simulation software including tools for linking desktop computers to perform simulation experiments; (4) Guidelines for planning the simulation experiments; (5) Methods for validating the simulation results; (6) Mediation of results; (7) Development of teaching modules.
Software Used: Integrated MAS / CA C++ model
Contact: Thomas Berger
Anasazi Village Model
Institution: Sante Fe Institute
Description: Anthropological model of Anasazi migration (swarm)
AQUADAPT
Institution: [1] University of Alicante, Spain [2] School of Water Sciences, Cranfield University [3] Aquagest Levante, S.A.Spain [4] Yorkshire Water, UK [5] University of Versailles, France [6] University College, London. UK [7] Universit� de Paris I (Panth�on-Sorbonne), France [8] Slovenian Academy of Sciences, Slovenia [9] University of Twente, The Netherlands [10] BRGM, France [11] 3D-Environmental Change, The Netherlands [12] National Soil Resources Institute, Cranfield University, United Kingdom
Principal Investigators: Prof. Juan Bellot (University of ALicante, Spain) & Dr. Paul Jeffrey (School of Water Sciences, Cranfield University, UK)
Grant Number: EVK1-CT-2001-00104
Description: The overall aim of the Aquadapt project is to generate knowledge which supports the strategic planning and management of water resources in semi-arid environments at catchment level under changing supply / demand patterns. The intellectual framework which underpins the project reflects recent thinking on the co-evolution of natural resource availability with human societies. Hence, we explicitly seek to provide a basis for the integration of water resource planning with structural, social, economic, agricultural and regional development planning. Organised in seven work packages, aquadapt involves 13 academic and industrial partners from 7 countries. Specific actions undertaken within the aquadapt research programme include: (1) Development of a computer based tool to support strategic planning of water utilisation patterns at catchment level. (2) Analysis of the envelope of attitudinal, behavioural, and cultural factors which influence water utilisation by individuals and groups of individuals under conditions of increasing water stress. (3) Identification of the options for adapting water resource governance structures to changing demands stemming from more intensive water utilisation patterns. (4) Characterisation of the relationships between changing rainfall patterns, land use patterns, hydrological balances, agricultural potential, and environmental integrity. (5) Provision of historical and archaeological perspectives on the co-evolutionary relationships between human settlement and water availability in semi-arid environments. (6) Advancement of complimentary theories in the fields of knowledge representation, knowledge transfer, sustainability, landscape sensitivity, and policy development.
Related Publications: Gearey, M. (2003) Legitimacy and efficiency of water governance regimes; an emerging agenda to support policy tool development. IWA - 2nd International Conference on Efficient Use and Management of Urban Water Supply. 2-4 April 2003, Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain Gonz�lez-Hidalgo, J.C.; De Luis, M.; Ravent�s, J.; S�nchez, J.R Vicente-Serrano, S.M.; Gonz�lez Hidalgo, J.C.; De Luis, M.; Cuadrat, J.M�.; Ravent�s, J. (2003) Spatial and temporal patterns of Large-scale droughts between 1951 and 2000 in the Valencia region (east Spain). Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 5, 02606, 2003. Ed. European Geophysical Society. Niza (France). Lemon, M. (2003) The AQUADAPT project. MEDRAP (Mediterranean Regional Action Programme To Combat Desertification) workshop on Degradation and Protection of resources in the Northern Mediterranean: Social, economic and political aspects. Montpellier, 16-18th January 2003 Winder, N. (2003) Successes and problems when conducting interdisciplinary or transdisciplinary (= integrative) research. In Tress, B., Tress, G., van der Valk, A., & Fry, G. (eds) Interdisciplinary and transdisciplinary landscape studies: Potential and limitations. Wageningen:Delta Series 2. 2003. p74-90 (ISBN 90 807637 1 3) Montginoul M, Rinaudo JD, Lunet de la Jonquiere Y, Garin P, Marchal JP and Burkhardt G (2003) Le d�veloppement des forages individuels : une cons�quence de la hausse du prix de l'eau potable. HYDROTOP 2003,. 2 -4 April, Marseille, France. Rinaudo JD, Montginoul M, Garin P, Lunet de la Jonquiere Y . (2003) Simulating the impact of water pricing on households behaviour: the temptation of using untreated groundwater. IWA - 2nd International Conference on Efficient Use and Management of Urban Water Supply. 2-4 April 2003, Tenerife, Canary Islands, Spain Jeffrey, P. & Gearey, M. (2002) Societal responses to water conservation policy instruments: a literature review and some comments on emerging theory. Proc. Annual meeting of the EPSRC WATERSAVE network. 11th December 2002, Loughborough University, UK Jeffrey, P. (2002) The AQUADAPT project. IWA Leading Edge Conference Series � Sustainability in the Water Sector. 25-26 November 2002, Venice, Italy Boyce, D. McIntosh, B.S. Hallett, S. Winder, N. Giraud, F. Courtois, N. Imeson, A. Rinaudo, J.D. Thomas, D. & Jeffrey, P. (2002) SCAPT- a support tool for utility-oriented strategic river basin planning. Proceedings of the at the Marie-Curie conference on �Science for Water Policy: the implications of the Water Framework Directive�. 2-4 September 2002, University of East Anglia, Norwich, UK Kranjc, A. (2002) From Rock Desert to Forest - an Example from Kras. Royal Irish Academy conference on �Natural and Cultural Landscapes: The Geological Foundation� 9 � 11 September 2002. Dublin Castle, Ireland Gearey, M. (2002) Legitimacy and policy tool development in the context of water stress�. Newcastle University seminar on �Water Governance� University of Newcastle upon Tyne, December 16th 2002 Gonz�lez Hidalgo, J.C.; De Luis, M.; �tep�nek, P.; Ravent�s, J.; Cuadrat, J.M. (2002) Reconstrucci�n, estabilidad y proceso de homogeneizaci�n de series de precipitaci�n en ambientes de elevada variabilidad pluvial. En: Cuadrat,J.M.; Vicente,S.M.; Saz,M.A. (Eds.). Universidad de Zaragoza. La informaci�n clim�tica como herramienta de gesti�n ambiental, 47-57. Gonz�lez Hidalgo, J.C.; Vicente, S.M.; De Luis, M.; �tep�nek, P.; Cuadrat, J.M.; Ravent�s, J.; S�nchez, J.R. (2002) Reconstrucci�n de registros pluviales y creaci�n de una base de datos mensuales en la vertiente mediterr�nea espa�ola. En: Guijarro Pastor, J.A.; Grimalt Gelabert, M.; Laita Ruiz de As�a, M.; Alonso Oroza, S. (Eds.) Publicaciones de la Asociaci�n Espa�ola de Climatolog�a. Serie A, n� 3. El agua y el clima, 219-228. Gonz�lez Hidalgo, J.C.; Vicente, S.M.; De Luis, M.; �tep�nek, P.; Cuadrat, J.M.; Ravent�s, J.; S�nchez, J.R. (2002) Variaciones estacionales de la precipitaci�n en la costa Este peninsular durante la d�cada de los a�os noventa. En: Guijarro Pastor, J.A.; Grimalt Gelabert, M.; Laita Ruiz de As�a, M.; Alonso Oroza, S. (Eds.) Publicaciones de la Asociaci�n Espa�ola de Climatolog�a. Serie A, n� 3. El agua y el clima, 229-236 Gonz�lez Hidalgo, J.C.; Vicente-Serrano, S.M.; De Luis, M.; Ravent�s, J. (2002) Spatial distribution of NAO and Polar teleconnection patterns in the east of Iberian Peninsula: a climate ecotone Geophysical Research Abstracts, Vol. 5, 01856, 2003. Ed. European Geophysical Society. Niza (Francia).
Comparison of Urban and Rural Land Use Change Models of Wetlands Loss in Mississippi 1982-1992
Institution: Clark University, Department of Economics Worcester, Massachusetts, USA
Principal Investigators: Landy C. Johnson, M.P.A., Ph.D. Candidate in Environmental Economics e-mail: ljohnson@clarku.edu
Grant Number: None
Description: This is a doctoral dissertation focusing on an economic model of land use change in which individual land managers decide whether to convert wetlands. The model combines land use data from the Natural Resources Inventory (NRI) with economic data on agriculture and industry, as well as traditional economic variables such as income and population change.
Expected Outputs: Dissertation. Completion expected spring/summer 2003.
Related Publications: Some of this material was presented at an Eastern Economic Association conference.
Software Used: Stata statistical software. Also, the GIS software Arc Info was used to create a highway infrastructure density variable.
Contact:
CORMAS : Common-Pool Resources and Multi-Agents Systems
Institution: CIRAD
Description: Many models of natural resource management in a spatial setting. Source of CORMAS, a programming environment dedicated to the creation of multi-agent systems, with a specificity in the domain natural resources management. It provides a framework for developing simulation models of coordination modes between individuals and groups that jointly exploit common resources.
Software Used: Cormas
Contact: , and
Department of Environmental and Resource Economics
Institution: University of Rhode Island
Description: Land-use policy simulation model and experimental laboratory. More>>
Contact: Jim Opaluch
DINAMICA - Landscape Dynamics Simulator
Institution: Centro de Sensoriamento Remoto Instituto de Geoci�ncias Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais
Principal Investigators: Dr. Britaldo Silveira Soares Filho, Gustavo Cerqueira Coutinho, William Leite Ara�jo
Grant Number: FAPEMIG, Conservation International, ECO -LBA
Description: DINAMICA has been developed as a new tool to investigate trajectory of landscapes and dynamics of spatial phenomena. More>>
Related Publications: Almeida C.M., Monteiro A.M.V., Camara G., Soares-Filho B.S., Cerqueira G.C., Pennachin C.L., Batty M. Empiricism and Stochastics in Cellular Automaton Modeling of Urban Land Use Dynamics. The Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis Working Paper Series. 2002. Full text supplied by Centre for Advanced Spatial Analysis. Soares-Filho B.S., 1998. Modelagem da din�mica de paisagem de uma regi�o de fronteira de coloniza��o amaz�nica. Thesis (Doctorate) - Escola Polit�cnica da Universidade de S�o Paulo. Full text supplied by CSR Soares-Filho B.S.; Assun��o, R. M.; Pantuzo, A. Modeling the spatial transition probabilities of landscape changes in an Amazonian Colonization frontier. Bioscience, USA, v. 51, n. 12, p. 1039-1046, 2001. Full text supplied by CatchWord Soares-Filho B.S.; Pennachin, C. L.; Cerqueira, G. DINAMICA � a stochastic cellular automata model designed to simulate the landscape dynamics in an Amazonian colonization frontier. Ecological Modelling, v. 154 n. 3, p. 217 � 235, 2002. Full text supplied by Science Direct Soares-Filho B.S.; Cerqueira, G., Ara�jo, W. DINAMICA's collection of spatial patterns of change. 2002. Full text supplied by CSR
Software Used: DINAMICA
Contact: Britaldo Silveira Soares Filho
Metadata
Dynamic Spatial Modeling
Institution: Geographic Modeling Systems Lab at the University of Illinois
Description: Endangered species and disease spread models using the Spatial Modeling Environement with Stella and Swarm.
Software Used: Spatial Modeling Environement
Contact:
EvoLand - Evolving Landscape Simulator
Institution: Oregon State University, University of Oregon
Principal Investigators: Stan Gregory John Bolte Dave Hulse
Grant Number: NSF DEB-0120022
Description: An analysis of coupled human/natrual system dynamics in large, floodplain riverine systems using a spatially explicit, multiactor based model of landscape change
Software Used: C++
Contact: John Bolte
GeoGraph Computational Laboratories -- Network Landscapes for Swarm
Description: GeoGraphs are a general-purpose network landscape library for Swarm that can be used for a wide variety of projects.
Contact: Catherine Dibble ()
Geomod
Institution: Clark University
Principal Investigators: Robert Gilmore Pontius Jr
Description: Geomod is a land change model that simulates a one way change from one category to one other category as time progresses. Geomod allows independence between the prediction of the quantity of land categories and the prediction location of land categories. Geomod is fully incorporated into the GIS software Idrisi, therefore it encourages appropriate validation and uncertainty analysis. See the related publications for guidance on validation and uncertainty analysis.
Related Publications: R G Pontius Jr, J Cornell and C Hall. 2001. Modeling the spatial pattern of land-use change with GEOMOD2: application and validation for Costa Rica. Agriculture, Ecosystems & Environment 85(1-3) p. 191-203. R G Pontius Jr. 2002. Statistical methods to partition effects of quantity and location during comparison of categorical maps at multiple resolutions. Photogrammetric Engineering & Remote Sensing 68(10) p. 1041-1049. R G Pontius Jr, A Agrawal and D Huffaker. 2003. Estimating the uncertainty of land-cover extrapolations while constructing a raster map from tabular data. Journal of Geographical Systems 5(3) p. 253-273.
Software Used: Idrisi
Contact:
Land Use and Carbon Sequestration in Eastern Deciduous Forests:
Institution: West Virginia University and George Mason University
Principal Investigators: Amy Hessl, Department of Geography, WVU; Richard Thomas and Bill Peterjohn, Department of Biology, WVU, and Dawn C. Parker, Departments of Geography and Environmental Science and Policy, GMU
Grant Number: National Science Foundation: Land Use and Carbon Sequestration in Eastern Deciduous Forests: Complex Interactions Between Human Activities and Ecosystem Processes (0414565)
Description: This project will couple a statistical model that links socioeconomic and biophysical drivers of hardwood timber harvest to a locally calibrated model of above-and-below ground carbon sequestration. The models will be developed for an applied to West Virginia, USA, and will use data from the WVU Fernow Experiment Station and the US Forest Inventory Analysis. The coupled models will be used to conduct scenario analysis that will examine how timber harvest and carbon sequestration might change under alternative sets of biophysical and socioeconomic conditions. More>>
Contact: Dawn C. Parker
LEAM: Land-use Evolution and Impact Assessment Model
Institution: University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign
Principal Investigators: Brian Deal, Varkki George, Bruce Hannon
Description: LEAM simulates land-use change across space and time. It explicates the relationships among environmental, economic, and social systems in land-use change and its impacts.
Software Used: Stella, SME
Contact: Varkki George
Learning in Multi Agent System for Multi-actor spatial planning
Institution: Centre for GeoInformation Sciences Wageningen University
Principal Investigators: Bidhyananda Yadav
Description: Although the GIS has been realized as an important analytical tool for solving spatial explicit problems, it fails to give desired result when situation is complex, particularly when it comes to represent human behavior and their intensions. Actually, the interaction between the environment and the stakeholders is inherently quite complex. Mathematical modeling tools are not able to support the soft knowledge used by humans in decision making and hence GIS cannot support it either. Thus, newer insights are necessary to understand and model such complex and dynamic interactions. Recent developments in the field of artificial intelligence and particularly in that of multi agent system (MAS), looks promising to solve these complex dynamic problems. Coupling GIS with MAS seem an option to represent the soft knowledge used by humans in problem solving. With such a system it should also be possible to model and simulate the complex dynamics of spatial interactions. Spatial planning nowadays is an extremely sensitive issue in many parts of the world involving multiple actors/stakeholders. Moreover, many complex political and social processes influence it. So, it is a highly decentralized process (at least in the democratic societies) and the process can last for years. The final outcome of the process is not always desirable for the all the stakeholders and hence conflict arises. This is one of the reasons why people use models to study the effects of land use planning. However, these models are far from representing the reality, and have to make many assumptions. So the final outcomes of these models are not correct as well. One of the main drawbacks of these models is that they fail to capture the desires and the preferences of the actors, major driving force for most land use change, involved in the planning process. To address this shortcoming, MAS models have gained popularity and scientists are increasingly applying these models to study land use change for multi-actor planning. While it is possible to capture the human desires and preferences through these models, there are still many issues that need to be addressed at large. For instance, how to validate such models, how to initiate and handle negotiation between agents and how each agent can learn about others so as to come with better decisions in the end. Multi-actor spatial planning involves the interaction among various actors and lots of negotiation and communication is going on in between them. In this process the actors also try to learn about others desires and preferences so that they can come at consensus and the final result is acceptable to a majority of actors. Since, MAS seem to be a feasible alternative to design such systems, learning among agents in a multi agent framework is an important issue to be tacked at large. One of the reasons why the systems designed on multi agent framework for spatial planning lacks credibility is that the agents are annoying stupid which is in sharp contrast to what agents should be. To overcome this situation, there is a strong need to equip agents with some learning capability. While still there is no consensus among the research community on what is intelligence and what is learning, there is a strong agreement that there can be no intelligence if the system does not have the ability to learn. Equipping agents with the ability to learn mean that intelligent systems can be developed which can have some degree is fault tolerance and can act even in the unpredictable and dynamic environment, which is actually the case with earths systems and processes. Having said all this I want to stress that the general purpose of this research work is to investigate about applying various learning techniques that can be used for multi-actor land use planning in a multi agent framework. There is a need for a kind of artificial environment in which policy can be developed and tested in order to cope with the increasing complexity of reality. Hence, the broader notion of this research is to aid in the developed of such agent based models where policies and plans can be evaluated and their effects appropriately studied before they are put into practice.
Software Used: Java, Repast and ArcView
Contact: Bidhyananda Yadav
LUCIM: Agent-based Models of Land-Use Decisions and Emergent Land-Use Patterns in Forested Regions of the American Midwest and the Brazilian Amazon
Institution: CIPEC (Indiana University)
Grant Number: NSF 00-22
Description: LUCIM: Rural and semi-rural land-cover change in Southern Indiana, spatial interactions, strategies for model validation More>>
Expected Outputs: Various articles, theses...
Related Publications: See main project webpage for most up to date information
Software Used: Matlab, IDRISI
Contact:
LUCITA: Agent-based Models of Land-Use Decisions and Emergent Land-Use Patterns in Forested Regions of the American Midwest and the Brazilian Amazon
Institution: CIPEC (Indiana University)
Grant Number: NSF 00-22
Description: LUCITA: Patterns of deforestation and agriculture in the frontier Brazilian Amazon
Contact: Peter Deadman
MameLuke Project
Institution: The Department of Social Sciences, NijmegenUniversity, the Center for Environmental Research, Programme Environment and Development (project info) , and the CLUE project, Wageningen University (project info)
Description: The MameLuke framework is developed to enhance the understanding of the linkages between societal processes and land use and -cover changes by modelling individual decision making processes, group decisional processes and human-environment interactions. The MameLuke framework uses (multi-) agent based modelling, following and extending the RePast 2.0 features, as its primary technique to represent and simulate the individual decisions and societal processes regarding land use. The decision-making process of an actor is a theoretical extension of the Action-In-Context framework. The actors� decisional processes vary due to the actors� roles indicating the actors� social groups and the actors� characteristics, also, they differ due to changes in the land cover (interpreted by the actor). During each (discrete) time-step in a model, the social actor determines its decisional course based upon its own state, needs, desires, preferences, beliefs and experience. Every time step the actor has to manoeuvre through a landscape of decisional paths, choosing the paths that have outcomes closest to the desires and preferences of the type of actor. Each decisional path consists of at least one decisional node and contains a user defined nodal sequence. Each decisional node is a transaction interface between an initialising agent and a recipient agent. In a decisional node or transaction, the agents exchange �capital�. In the first application, the model simulates various settlement decisions of (migrant-)households in San Mariano, the Philippines during the 20th century. This research-area, bordered by the tropical rainforest in the Northern Sierra Madre mountains, is populated by people with many ethnic backgrounds with several different (semi-) traditional land use habits. The model is based upon collected life-histories, GIS maps and qualitative interviews on individual decisional processes combined with aggregated and individual level statistical data. The model analyses the relevance of various settlement-decisions of actors with their own social and ethnical behavioural decision processes while interpreting their social and physical environment. More>>
Software Used: JAVA - Repast 2.0 (MS Access 2000 and MS SQL-server)
Contact:
Modeling Land Use-Land Cover Dynamics
Institution: Urban Ecology Research Lab Department of Urban Design and Planning University of Washington
Principal Investigators: Marina Alberti John Marzluff Paul Waddell Mark Handcock
Grant Number: Biocomplexity #0120024
Description: Our project aims to develop an integrated strategy to model the urban development and land cover change dynamics in the Central Puget Sound Region. We aim to develop a model of urban development and land cover change that can interface with a large set of ecosystem processes. We focus on linking urban development and land cover change to bird diversity as a test case for our modeling approach. The work will employ Bayesian networks and a multi-agent microsimulation approach. More>>
Expected Outputs: Land cover change model for Puget Sound, Washington and a series of Journal Articles and Conference Presentations
Related Publications: Alberti, M. 1999. Modeling the Urban Ecosystem: A Conceptual Framework. Environment and Planning B. 26:605-630. Alberti, M. and P. Waddell. 2000. An Integrated Urban Development and Ecological Simulation Model. Integrated Assessment.. 1:215-227.
Software Used: ArcGIS, ERDAS Imagine, ENVI, S-Plus, Limdep, UrbanSim
Contact:
Personal Page
Institution: Humboldt University, Berlin, Dept. of Ag Econ and Social Science
Description: Agricultural land markets; structural change in agriculture. More>>
Contact:
Policies for Improved Land Management in Uganda
Institution: ZEF
Description: Landowner decision-making models for agricultural and forest policy analysis.
Software Used: an integrated MAS / CA C++ model
Contact: Thomas Berger
Project SLUCE
Institution: The University of Michigan's School of Natural Resources, The Environment's Environmental Spatial Analaysis Laboratory and The Center for the Study of Complex Systems
Principal Investigators: Dan Brown, Scott Page, and Joan Nassauer
Grant Number: NSF BCS-0119804
Description: Project SLUCE will investigate the dynamics of land-use changes at the urban-rural fringe and their interactions with the natural environment and ecosystem function. More>>
Contact: Dan Brown
RBSim Modeling Package
Institution: School of Natural Resources, University of Arizona
Description: Agent-based models of the behavior of recreational land users. Home of the RBSim modeling package.
Contact: Randy Gimblett
SAMBA-GIS: a combination of role-plays, multi-agent simulations and geographic information systems for participatory analysis of land use changes in northern Vietnam mountains
Institution: Institut de Recherche pour le D�veloppement (France) International Rice Research Institute (Philippines) Vietnam Agricultural Science Institute (Vietnam) Wageningen University (The Netherlands)
Principal Investigators: Jean-Christophe Castella Tran Ngoc Trung Stanislas Boissau
Description: In the northern mountains of Viet Nam, the rapid changes that accompanied the "doi moi" reforms combined with a tremendous diversity of natural and social environments has led to a very complex picture that challenges traditional approaches to land use systems. Since 1999, the SAM-Regional Program has designed and tested in Bac Kan Province a new method to analyze agrarian dynamics. It is based on a participatory analysis of farm household decision-making process that is gradually generalized to the village community, and then to district and provincial levels. This up-scaling approach is made possible by the coupling of complementary research tools: production systems analysis, multi-agents modeling, role-plays, and geographic information systems (GIS). More>>
Related Publications: Bousquet F., Barreteau O., d�Aquino P., Etienne M., Boissau S., Aubert S., Le Page C., Babin D., Castella J.C. (2002) Multi-agent systems and role games: an approach for ecosystem co-management. In: Janssen M. (eds) Complexity and Ecosystem Management: The Theory and Practice of Multi-agent Approaches. Edward Elgar Publishers. Cheltenham, UK and Northampton, MA, USA. 248-285. Boissau S., Castella JC. (2003) Constructing a common representation of local institutions and land use systems through simulation-gaming and multi-agent modeling in rural areas of Northern Vietnam: the SAMBA-Week methodology. Simulations & Gaming, 34(3): 342-347. Castella J.C., Boissau S., Hoang Lan Anh (2003) Enhancing communities� adaptability to a rapidly changing environment in Vietnam uplands: the SAMBA role-play. In: Serrano R.C., Aggangan R.T. (eds.) Sustaining Upland Development in Southeast Asia: Issues, Tools & Institutions for Local Natural Resource Management. PCARRD, Los Banos, Philippines. 203 - 236. Boissau S., Hoang Lan Anh, Castella J.C. (2004) The SAMBA role play game in northern Vietnam. An innovative approach to participatory natural resource management. Mountain Research and Development, 24(2): 101-105. Castella J.C., Dang Dinh Quang, Th�venot P. (2004) Toward new modes of governance of the research-development continuum to facilitate the dissemination of agricultural innovations in a mountainous province of northern Vietnam. International Journal of Agricultural Resources, Governance and Ecology, 3(1/2): 77-94.
Software Used: CORMAS
Contact: Jean-Christophe Castella
SLUDGE: Simulated land-use dependent on edge-effect externalities
Institution: Department of Geograpy, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, and the Center for Social Complexity, George Mason University
Description: I use an agent-based celluar automaton model to investigate links between distance-dependent (edge-effect) spatial externalities, transportation costs, and emergent landscape patterns. More>>
Related Publications: Parker, D. C. 1999. Landscape Outcomes in a Model of Edge-Effect Externalities: A Computational Economics Approach. Santa Fe, NM: Santa Fe Institute Publication 99-07-051. Parker, D.C. 2000. Edge-effect externalities: Theoretical and empirical implications of spatial heterogeneity. Ph D. diss. University of California at Davis, Davis, CA Parker, D. C., and V. Meretsky. 2004. Measuring Pattern Outcomes in an Agent-Based Model of Edge-Effect Externalities Using Spatial Metrics. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 101: 233-250. Parker, D. C., and R. I. Najlis. 2003. Using multi-agent system models to link spatial externalities and landscape fragmentation: A `pseudo-inductive' analysis. Paper presented in the Framing Land Use Dynamics, April 16-18, Utrecht University, Netherlands. .
Software Used: Java/RePast implementation
Contact: Dawn Parker
Metadata
Spatially Explicit Land-use Change Modelling in North-western mountain, Vietnam
Institution: 1. German Academic Exchange Service (DAAD) 2. Institute of Rural Development, University of Goettingen, Germany 3. Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development (MARD), Vietnam
Principal Investigators: Pham Manh Cuong Manfred Zeller
Grant Number: A/01/07529
Description: Land-uses in the noth-western upland region of Vietnam have dramatically changed since the Vietnamese Government has decided to transform its economy from centrally-managed to open market-oriented model in late 1980s. This study aims to (1) provide a better understanding of the LULCC processes and complex interactions between LULCC and driving forces spanning over past two decades, (2) enable Vietnamese decision makers at various levels to timely revise and issue relevant policies to pursue sustainable development in the upland region.
Expected Outputs: Ph.D. dissertation
Software Used: STATA, LIMDEP, ArcGIS, ENVI
Sustainable Water Use under Changing Land Use, Rainfall Reliability, and Water Demands in the Volta Basin
Institution: ZEF
Description: Landowner decision-making models for agricultural and forest policy analysis.
Software Used: an integrated MAS / CA C++ model
Contact: Thomas Berger
The FEARLUS Project
Institution: Macaulay Institute
Principal Investigators: Nick Gotts Gary Polhill Luis Izquierdo Bill Adam Alistair Law
Description: Agent-Based Modelling of Land Use Change and River Basin Management More>>
Software Used: Objective C Swarm (Objective C version 2.1.1)
Contact:
The LOV project
Institution: RIVM, The Netherlands
Description: The Environment Explorer/LeefOmgevingsVerkenner (LOV) is a spatial, dynamic model in which social, economic and ecological activities and land uses are modeled in an integrated way. More>>
Contact: and
TiGrESS (Time-Geographical Approaches to Emergence and Sustainable Societies)
Institution: (1) School of Historical Studies, University of Newcastle Upon Tyne, UK. (2) Research Institute for Knowledge Systems (RIKS bv.), Netherlands. (3) School of Water Sciences, Cranfield University, UK. (4) Centre National de Rechereche Scientifique (CNRS-DR01), France. (5) Departamento de Medio Ambiente, Universidad Europea de Madrid, Spain. (6) Department of Environmental Science & Technology, Imperial College of Science, Technology & Medicine, UK. (7) Centre for Water Systems , University of Exeter, UK. (8) David Lock Associates, UK. (9) Seaton Associates, UK. (10) Department of Mechanical Engineering, University of Bath, UK.
Principal Investigators: (1) Nick Winder. (2) Guy Engelen. (3) Paul Jeffrey and Brian S. McIntosh. (4) Lena Sanders. (5) Marrisol Garrido. (6) Murdoch McAllister and Tim Oxley. (7) Dragan Savic. (8) Arwel Owen. (9) Roger Seaton. (10) Jerry Busby.
Grant Number: EVG3-2001-00024 (funded by EC FP5, start date Feb. 2003)
Description: Time-Geographical (TG) methods in social science research have been in existence since the 1950�s [H�gerstrand 1953, 1961, 1970, 1985] and have either directly inspired or can be closely related to a range of modern individual-based social simulation techniques including micro-simulation modelling and multi-agent simulation [Troitsch 1996, Ferrand 2000]. The past 10 years have shown that an ad hoc approach to individual based modelling may not be productive [Railsback 2001] and we propose that Time-Geographical methods can provide an effective alternative. Time-Geographical methods are unusual in their emphasis on three obvious truths: the corporeality of the human condition, that humans live in a geographical space�time that constrains their actions, and that they are purposive. TIGRESS will provide the analysis facilities, integrated within a �state-of-the-art� software environment, that allow scientists within each workpackage to connect with space-time data at both an intuitive and an analytical level. It can be thought of as a specialised �data-mining� tool for spatio-temporal data produced either by direct fieldwork or from simulation models. The TiGrESS project will evaluate the usefulness of Time-Geographical methods for understanding the relationships between environmental change and social-economic driving factors. We will undertake three focussed case studies to look at problems of demographics and water resource planning (along the M11 corridor in the UK), the dynamics of the European urban network (the whole of Europe) and sustainable agriculture and land-use planning (around Madrid). The aim of the UK M11 workpackage is to support the strategic planning of water supply infrastructures through development of a spatially discretised strategic water demand and supply analysis tool capable of integrating water demand forecasting (potentially using MAB), LUCC and a water supply infrastructure optimisation tool. The main objective of European Urban Network workpackage is to develop a model to simulate the dynamics of the European urban network in response to demographic change, international and national immigration policies and spatial constraints. The objective of the Spanish land-use planning workpackage is to develop a TG land-use planning tool to be used (1) as a research tool for exploring and providing advice on land use; (2) As an educational tool for students in land planning and ecosystem management courses. planning regulations, and; (3) as a tool for the strengthening the democratisation process through making data and information available to the wider public.
Expected Outputs: � We will develop a generic tool for evaluating and analysing Time-Geographical data over a range of scales. This software tool, the TiGrESS Proof of Concept System, will be developed by the Consortium and used to receive, summarise, visualise and explore data from both simulation experiments and empirical studies. The TIGRESS system will be designed for dual use: both as a means of visualising data in real-time and for post-processing using dynamic maps and statistical summaries in an interactive environment. � We will use the TIGRESS system to undertake three case studies to produce policy-relevant information and to identify potential pathways to sustainable development through the examination of a range of relevant multi-sectoral and strategic issues affecting the study areas. � We will evaluate the impact upon individual researchers of using Time-Geographical methods to explore the dynamics of environmental change through the socio-economic drivers. Using accepted elicitation methods, a portfolio of data will be collected consisting of verbal protocols, process tracing, and pre- and post-process testing to study the development of scientists� knowledge bases and conceptual maps. � We will publish and disseminate the results in a series of four high quality scientific monographs, one for each case study and one synthetic volume. These will be distributed to selected university libraries and other interested parties throughout Europe. Relevant regional and national government decision-makers will be involved as end-users for the results of each case-study.
Related Publications: Oxley, T., McIntosh, B.S. & Winder, N. (2003), 'Time-Geographical Approaches to Emergence and Sustainable Societies', Paper Presented at the International Framing Land-Use Dynamics (FLUD) Conference, Utrecht, Netherlands, April 2003.
Software Used: RIKS bv. Geonamica plus others to be decided.
Contact: (co-ordinator)
UrbanSim
Institution: Univertsity of Washington
Principal Investigators: Marina Alberti Alan Borning Batya Friedman Mark Gross Mark Handcock John Marzluff David Notkin Zoran Popovic Paul Waddell
Grant Number: NSF Information Technology Research; NSF Digital Government; NSF Biocomplexity
Description: UrbanSim is a dynamic microsimulation model of household and firm location, real estate development, and the influence of transportation and other infrastructure and land policies. It is now adding model components to model land cover change, water and energy demand,. More>>
Expected Outputs: Results include a seriers of publications, and operational models in use in a variety of metropolitan areas.
Related Publications: See papers listed on the web site.
Software Used: Open Source simulation architecture in Java, MySQL, OpenMap, R, ArcGIS
Contact:
Metadata
Research Institute for Knowledge Systems (Netherlands)
Description: High-resolution cellular automaton models of urban growth; GIS applications, Individual Based Models, Cellular Automata Models, Systems Dynamics, Integrated Assessment Models, Decision Support or Policy Support Systems. GEONAMICA software package. More>>
Contact: Guy Engelen and Roger White
Sprawlsim
Institution: University of Utah, geosimulation.org
Principal Investigators: Paul M. Torrens
Description: The purpose of the SprawlSim project is twofold. First, to develop a virtual laboratory for testing ideas about the causes, consequences, characteristics, and potential controls of suburban sprawl in American cities. Second, to develop innovative spatial simulation technology, focused on automata-based techniques (cellular automata, multi-agent systems) in patently spatial frameworks. More>>
Expected Outputs: Decision support tools for exploring sprawl, a set of indicators for identifying and measuring suburban sprawl, re-usable Geographic Automata Systems.
Related Publications: A large number of papers, reports, presentations, and lectures are available for download here. Methodological details relating to the simulation technology can be found here. Details on funky 3D models can be found at urbansimulation.com.
Software Used: RePast, NetLogo, StarLogo, custom Java, ArcGIS
Contact:
SYPRIA: Integrated Assessment and Projection of Southern Yucat�n Peninsular Region (LCLUC / SYPR)
Institution: University of Minnesota, Department of Geography
Principal Investigators: Steven M. Manson
Description: Patterns of deforestation and cultivation in tropical agriculture, cellular automata, geographic information science. More>>
Contact: Steven Manson
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