Description | Schedule | Participants & Papers | Proceedings | Additional Resources
Agent-based Models of Land Use / Land Cover Change - Schedule
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Thursday, 3:00-6:00 at the Hyatt
Short presentations
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- Jim Opaluch
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Alfons Balmann presenting Adjustment Costs of Agri- Environmental Policy Switchings
A Multi-Agent-Approach [PDF, 257k]
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Thomas Berger presenting Multiple-Agent Modeling Applied to Agro-Ecological
Development [PDF, 520k]
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Peter Deadman presenting Agent Based Simulations of the Effects of Household Structure on Patterns of Land Use Change in the Brazilian Amazon [PDF, 352k]
- Daniel G. Brown presenting Project SLUCE: Spatial Land Use Change and Ecological Effects
[PDF, 1.4 MB]
- Gary Polhill presenting FEARLUS: An Agent-Based Model of Land Use [PDF, 172k]
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Patrick D’Aquino presenting Linking Role-playing Games, GIS and MAS to Accompany
Governing Processes in Land Use Management: The SelfCormas Experiment in the Senegal River Valley [PDF, 438k] Accompanying Paper [PDF, 331k]
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Steve Manson presenting Agent Based Approaches to Land-Use and Land-Cover Change in the Southern Yucatan Peninsular Region of Mexico [PDF, 645k]
- Dawn Parker presenting Biocomplexity Project Overview [PDF, 652k]
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Saturday, 2:45-4:30 at the Beckman center
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Break-out session followed by group discussion
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- What lessons have we learned for MAS/LUCC models from the NAS sessions?
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Sunday, 8:30-10:00 at the Hyatt
Goals and Models
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Break-out groups followed by summaries and discussion
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What are our goals for the workshop?
LUCC working paper goals
Potential follow-up activities:
- CSISS expert meeting?
- NAS Colloquium?
- Special journal issue?
- Listserve and enhanced web site
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What are the potential strengths of MAS/LUCC models? What is the most appropriate role for such models?
Dealing with space and time
Process discovery vs. policy analysis
Levels of abstraction
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10:00-10:15 -- Coffee break
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10:15-Noon -- Linking models to data
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Break-out groups followed by summaries and discussion
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How can models be parameterized?
Data from outside the system: surveys, experiments, statistical models, GIS coverages
Data gathered within the system: same sources
- What are the compatibilities and synergies of alternative modeling techniques?
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What are the special challenges for model verification for MAS/LUCC models?
Understanding systems that can't be analytically explored
Understanding systems with non-linearities, complex feedbacks, and multiple equilibria
Identifying problems of parameter identification (i.e., an outcome may have several observationally equivalent possible causes)
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What are possible techniques for model validation (i.e., comparing generated and actual landscapes and behavior)?
Landscape comparisons -- existing techniques and possible innovations
Behavioral comparisons
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What are important issues with respect to spatial and temporal scale that must be considered in model parameterization, verification, and validation?
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What empirical challenges are unique to MAS/LUCC models?
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1:00-3:00 Infrastructure Development
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New break-out groups followed by summaries and discussion
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What tools have researchers used and explored?
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What are the strengths and weaknesses of these tools?
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What enhancements are needed?
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What coordination or investments would be helpful?
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3:00-3:15 -- Coffee Break
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- Modeling human decision making (discussed)
- Modeling socio-political phenomena (institutions, group decision making, etc�) (discussed)
- Modeling land markets and alternative land allocation strategies (discussed)
- Modeling endogenous rule formation
- What can�t we use ABM models for?
- What non-human entities can be represented as agents?
- What should be endogenous and exogenous to our models?
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5:00-5:30 -- Closing discussion
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- Potential publication outlets
- Development of enhanced web site
- Possible future workshops, conference venues
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Other communication strategies
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